Anna Maria, FL

3:38 PM EDT on October 18, 2019 (GMT -0400)
Anna Maria Island | | Change Station

Elev 20 ft 27.53 °N, 82.73 °W | Updated 18 seconds ago

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
81.3 °F
Feels Like 81 °F
N
6.49
Wind Variable Wind from NE
Gusts 7.4 mph

Today
High -- | Low -- °F
--% Chance of Precip.
Yesterday
High -- | Low -- °F
Precip. -- in
Pressure 29.83 in
Visibility 10.0 miles
Clouds Few 7000 ft
Scattered Clouds 12000 ft
Heat Index 81 °F
Dew Point 53 °F
Humidity 38%
Rainfall 0.00 in
Snow Depth Not available.
7:32 AM 6:59 PM
Waning Gibbous, 77% visible
METAR KSRQ 181853Z 09010KT 10SM FEW070 SCT120 27/22 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP099 T02720217
Pressure 29.83 in
Visibility 10.0 miles
Clouds Few 7000 ft
Scattered Clouds 12000 ft
Heat Index 81 °F
Dew Point 53 °F
Humidity 38%
Rainfall 0.00 in
Snow Depth Not available.
7:32 AM 6:59 PM
Waning Gibbous, 77% visible
METAR KSRQ 181853Z 09010KT 10SM FEW070 SCT120 27/22 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP099 T02720217

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10-Day Weather Forecast

Almanac

Astronomy

Oct. 18, 2019 Rise Set
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Category 6

Welcome to Category 6. This is the collective home for Weather Underground's featured writeups by Dr. Jeff Masters (right), Bob Henson (left), Chris Burt, and other regular contributors.

Nearby

Air Quality

  Air Quality AQ Index Pollutant
Not available.

Snow Depth

Station Depth Elevation

Earthquake Activity

City Distance Mag. Time & Date
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.

Coastal Water Temperatures

Place Temperature

Stations

Nearby Weather Stations

Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precip. Elev Updated Type
                   

Watches & Warnings

Hurricane Statement
Issued: 2:02 PM EDT Oct. 18, 2019 – National Weather Service

This product covers west central and southwest Florida

**disturbance becomes tropical storm nestor**

New information
---------------

* changes to watches and warnings:
    - none

* current watches and warnings:
    - a storm surge warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for coastal Levy
    - a storm surge warning is in effect for coastal Citrus, coastal
      Hernando, coastal Pasco, and Pinellas

* storm information:
    - about 440 miles west-southwest of Cedar Key FL or about 420
      miles west of mouth of Tampa Bay FL
    - 26.3n 89.5w
    - storm intensity 60 mph
    - movement northeast or 55 degrees at 22 mph

Situation overview
------------------

Tropical storm Nestor over the central Gulf of Mexico is moving
northeast at 22 mph and is expected to reach the Florida Panhandle
early Saturday morning. Primary concerns along the Florida West Coast
will be for heavy rainfall and minor to moderate coastal flooding,
especially from Tampa Bay north.

Potential impacts
-----------------

* surge:
protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the Nature Coast. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts in Tampa Bay.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Flooding rain:
protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential
impacts include:
    - localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief Road and bridge
      closures.

* Tornadoes:
protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across west central and southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - the occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, Mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large Tree Tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* Wind:
protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Levy County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      Mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Other coastal hazards:
high surf and dangerous rip currents will occur over most of the
region. Storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is likely to occur in portions
of Tampa Bay.

Precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------

* evacuations:
listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* Other preparedness information:
now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the County or Parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.Gov, NOAA Weather Radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* Additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.Gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.Org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see Redcross.Org

Next update
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.


202 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

This product covers west central and southwest Florida

**disturbance becomes tropical storm nestor**

New information
---------------

* changes to watches and warnings:
    - none

* current watches and warnings:
    - a storm surge warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for coastal Levy
    - a storm surge warning is in effect for coastal Citrus, coastal
      Hernando, coastal Pasco, and Pinellas

* storm information:
    - about 440 miles west-southwest of Cedar Key FL or about 420
      miles west of mouth of Tampa Bay FL
    - 26.3n 89.5w
    - storm intensity 60 mph
    - movement northeast or 55 degrees at 22 mph

Situation overview
------------------

Tropical storm Nestor over the central Gulf of Mexico is moving
northeast at 22 mph and is expected to reach the Florida Panhandle
early Saturday morning. Primary concerns along the Florida West Coast
will be for heavy rainfall and minor to moderate coastal flooding,
especially from Tampa Bay north.

Potential impacts
-----------------

* surge:
protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the Nature Coast. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts in Tampa Bay.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Flooding rain:
protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential
impacts include:
    - localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief Road and bridge
      closures.

* Tornadoes:
protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across west central and southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - the occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, Mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large Tree Tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* Wind:
protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Levy County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      Mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Other coastal hazards:
high surf and dangerous rip currents will occur over most of the
region. Storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is likely to occur in portions
of Tampa Bay.

Precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------

* evacuations:
listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* Other preparedness information:
now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the County or Parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.Gov, NOAA Weather Radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* Additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.Gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.Org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see Redcross.Org

Next update
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.


1139 am EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

This product covers west central and southwest Florida

**noaa hurricane hunter aircraft finds the system stronger**

New information
---------------

* changes to watches and warnings:
    - none

* current watches and warnings:
    - a storm surge warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for coastal Levy
    - a storm surge warning is in effect for coastal Citrus, coastal
      Hernando, coastal Pasco, and Pinellas

* storm information:
    - about 480 miles west-southwest of Cedar Key FL or about 460
      miles west-southwest of mouth of Tampa Bay FL
    - 25.9n 90.0w
    - storm intensity 60 mph
    - movement northeast or 55 degrees at 22 mph

Situation overview
------------------

Potential tropical cyclone 16 over the central Gulf of Mexico is
moving northeast at 22 mph and is expected to reach the Florida
Panhandle early Saturday morning. Primary concerns along the Florida
West Coast will be for heavy rainfall and minor to moderate coastal
flooding, especially from Tampa Bay north.

Potential impacts
-----------------

* surge:
protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the Nature Coast. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts in Tampa Bay.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Flooding rain:
protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential
impacts include:
    - localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief Road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Tornadoes:
protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across west central and southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - the occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, Mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large Tree Tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* Wind:
protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Levy County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      Mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Other coastal hazards:
high surf and dangerous rip currents will occur over most of the
region. Storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is likely to occur in portions
of Tampa Bay.

Precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------

* evacuations:
listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* Other preparedness information:
now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the County or Parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.Gov, NOAA Weather Radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* Additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.Gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.Org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see Redcross.Org

Next update
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.



1139 am EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

This product covers west central and southwest Florida

**noaa hurricane hunter aircraft finds the system stronger**

New information
---------------

* changes to watches and warnings:
    - none

* current watches and warnings:
    - a storm surge warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for coastal Levy
    - a storm surge warning is in effect for coastal Citrus, coastal
      Hernando, coastal Pasco, and Pinellas

* storm information:
    - about 480 miles west-southwest of Cedar Key FL or about 460
      miles west-southwest of mouth of Tampa Bay FL
    - 25.9n 90.0w
    - storm intensity 60 mph
    - movement northeast or 55 degrees at 22 mph

Situation overview
------------------

Potential tropical cyclone 16 over the central Gulf of Mexico is
moving northeast at 22 mph and is expected to reach the Florida
Panhandle early Saturday morning. Primary concerns along the Florida
West Coast will be for heavy rainfall and minor to moderate coastal
flooding, especially from Tampa Bay north.

Potential impacts
-----------------

* surge:
protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the Nature Coast. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts in Tampa Bay.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Flooding rain:
protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential
impacts include:
    - localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief Road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Tornadoes:
protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across west central and southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - the occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, Mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large Tree Tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* Wind:
protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Levy County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      Mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Other coastal hazards:
high surf and dangerous rip currents will occur over most of the
region. Storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is likely to occur in portions
of Tampa Bay.

Precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------

* evacuations:
listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* Other preparedness information:
now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the County or Parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.Gov, NOAA Weather Radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* Additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.Gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.Org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see Redcross.Org

Next update
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.


1139 am EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

This product covers west central and southwest Florida

**noaa hurricane hunter aircraft finds the system stronger**

New information
---------------

* changes to watches and warnings:
    - none

* current watches and warnings:
    - a storm surge warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for coastal Levy
    - a storm surge warning is in effect for coastal Citrus, coastal
      Hernando, coastal Pasco, and Pinellas

* storm information:
    - about 480 miles west-southwest of Cedar Key FL or about 460
      miles west-southwest of mouth of Tampa Bay FL
    - 25.9n 90.0w
    - storm intensity 60 mph
    - movement northeast or 55 degrees at 22 mph

Situation overview
------------------

Potential tropical cyclone 16 over the central Gulf of Mexico is
moving northeast at 22 mph and is expected to reach the Florida
Panhandle early Saturday morning. Primary concerns along the Florida
West Coast will be for heavy rainfall and minor to moderate coastal
flooding, especially from Tampa Bay north.

Potential impacts
-----------------

* surge:
protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the Nature Coast. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts in Tampa Bay.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Flooding rain:
protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential
impacts include:
    - localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief Road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Tornadoes:
protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across west central and southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - the occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, Mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large Tree Tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* Wind:
protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Levy County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      Mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Other coastal hazards:
high surf and dangerous rip currents will occur over most of the
region. Storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is likely to occur in portions
of Tampa Bay.

Precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------

* evacuations:
listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* Other preparedness information:
now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the County or Parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.Gov, NOAA Weather Radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* Additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.Gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.Org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see Redcross.Org

Next update
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.



1139 am EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

This product covers west central and southwest Florida

**noaa hurricane hunter aircraft finds the system stronger**

New information
---------------

* changes to watches and warnings:
    - none

* current watches and warnings:
    - a storm surge warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for coastal Levy
    - a storm surge warning is in effect for coastal Citrus, coastal
      Hernando, coastal Pasco, and Pinellas

* storm information:
    - about 480 miles west-southwest of Cedar Key FL or about 460
      miles west-southwest of mouth of Tampa Bay FL
    - 25.9n 90.0w
    - storm intensity 60 mph
    - movement northeast or 55 degrees at 22 mph

Situation overview
------------------

Potential tropical cyclone 16 over the central Gulf of Mexico is
moving northeast at 22 mph and is expected to reach the Florida
Panhandle early Saturday morning. Primary concerns along the Florida
West Coast will be for heavy rainfall and minor to moderate coastal
flooding, especially from Tampa Bay north.

Potential impacts
-----------------

* surge:
protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the Nature Coast. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts in Tampa Bay.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Flooding rain:
protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential
impacts include:
    - localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief Road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Tornadoes:
protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across west central and southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - the occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, Mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large Tree Tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* Wind:
protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Levy County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      Mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across west central and southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* Other coastal hazards:
high surf and dangerous rip currents will occur over most of the
region. Storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is likely to occur in portions
of Tampa Bay.

Precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------

* evacuations:
listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* Other preparedness information:
now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the County or Parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.Gov, NOAA Weather Radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* Additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.Gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.Org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see Redcross.Org

Next update
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.


Coastal Flood Advisory, High Surf Advisory, Coastal Hazard Statement
Issued: 3:06 PM EDT Oct. 18, 2019 – National Weather Service

... Coastal flood advisory remains in effect until 8 am EDT
Sunday...
... High rip current risk remains in effect through Sunday
evening...
... High surf advisory remains in effect from 1 am Saturday to
8 am EDT Sunday...

* coastal flooding... 1 to 3 feet above ground in Tampa Bay.

* Coastal flood timing... through Sunday morning. Especially
during high tides.

* Coastal flood impacts... the combination of storm surge and
tide will cause normally dry areas near the shoreline to be
flooded.

* High surf... 5 to 7 feet.

* High surf timing... late tonight through Sunday morning.

* High surf impacts... wind driven surf will create dangerous rip
currents.

* Rip current timing... increasing wave action will create
dangerous rip currents through Sunday.

* Rip current impacts... strong rip currents will create
dangerous swimming conditions at area beaches.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A high surf advisory means that high surf will affect beaches in
the advisory area... producing localized beach erosion and
dangerous swimming conditions.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore... which occur most often at low spots or breaks in The
Sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins...
jetties and piers. For maximum safety... swim near a lifeguard.
Pay attention to flags and signs.

If you become caught in a rip current... Yell for help. Remain
calm... do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current... swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.

A coastal flood advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.