- Day Three
acus02 kwns 161701
Storm Prediction Center ac 161700
Day 2 convective outlook
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 am CST Wed Jan 16 2019
Valid 171200z - 181200z
..no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
a few thunderstorms are possible across parts of California into the
Great Basin on Thursday. Severe weather is not expected.
An upper-level trough will move eastward across the eastern U.S. On
Thursday as an upper-level ridge moves into the High Plains. Further
west, a shortwave trough will move onshore across California. Ahead
of this trough, large-scale ascent and steep mid-level lapse rates
will be favorable for isolated thunderstorm development Thursday
afternoon and evening from California eastward into the Great Basin.
Instability should be too weak across the western U.S. For a severe
threat. Elsewhere across the conus, thunderstorm activity is not
expected on Thursday or Thursday night.
..maximum risk by hazard...
Tornado: <2% - none
wind: <5% - none
hail: <5% - none