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Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
325 PM CST sun Dec 8 2019

Discussion...
it's been a mild and windy afternoon, though with quite a bit of
cloudiness. Afternoon water vapor imagery shows abundant mid and high
level moisture continuing to stream across the Southern Plains. A
couple of shortwave troughs are evident digging into northern Montana
and another off the California coast. Main surface cold front extends from
western Iowa through South Dakota and into Wyoming.

Cold front will move toward Oklahoma overnight and arrive in
northeast Oklahoma Monday morning and into northwest Arkansas by
afternoon. Overnight lows will stay on the mild side for most of
the area, with south winds and clouds. Falling temperatures are
likely by late Monday morning through the afternoon behind the
front along with gusty northwest winds.

Precipitation chances should largely be focused across southeast
Oklahoma into western Arkansas Monday night, where the majority
of it will fall as cold rain. There may be a window of opportunity
for a light wintry mix after midnight Monday into Tuesday morning.
If it's still precipitating across western Arkansas, it will be
cold enough for some light snow. Across southeast Oklahoma, rain
or freezing rain is possible early Tuesday morning, possibly
mixing with a few snowflakes in the higher elevations.
Precipitation amounts are forecast to be very light, which will
minimize any impacts.

Tuesday will be the coldest day of the week, with clearing skies
from west to east through the day. For the rest of the week,
seasonal temperatures are expected with highs generally in the
50s and lows in the 30s. The upper flow will become more zonal by
mid week with any southern stream storm systems remaining south
of the area.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 49 53 27 47 / 0 10 10 0
fsm 50 65 33 46 / 10 20 30 10
mlc 54 61 29 44 / 0 10 20 10
bvo 44 49 25 48 / 10 0 0 0
fyv 51 58 26 43 / 10 20 20 10
byv 50 59 27 42 / 10 20 10 10
mko 52 58 29 44 / 0 10 10 10
Mio 48 54 25 44 / 10 10 10 0
f10 52 56 29 46 / 0 10 10 10
hhw 55 67 33 43 / 0 20 80 40

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

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