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Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
333 am CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

Discussion...
the unseasonably warm weather will continue today with highs
temperatures generally similar to yesterday with scattered high
clouds across NE OK/northwest Arkansas as upper jet streak lifts into the
Central Plains. With a slow increase in low level moisture highs
on Wednesday should be a degree or two cooler and again on
Thursday as clouds begin to spread into the area from the south. A
few scattered showers/thunderstorms may develop across southeast
Oklahoma Thursday afternoon during peak heating.

Remnants of tropical low, currently off the Upper Texas coast,
will slowly lift north through eastern Texas Thursday and into
the arklatx region on Friday with increasing precip chances,
especially across southeast Oklahoma. With the extensive cloud
cover expected, high temperatures Friday should be closer to
normal for this time of year.

GFS remains aggressive with pushing weak front into the area
Saturday into Saturday night with widespread showers/thunderstorms
along southward moving boundary Saturday night into Sunday. European model (ecmwf)
slower with boundary, keeping precipitation north of the area
until Sunday night/Monday. Given the model uncertainties,
generally went with a blend concerning pops during this time.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 93 71 92 71 / 0 0 10 10
fsm 95 72 95 73 / 10 0 20 10
mlc 96 71 94 71 / 0 0 10 10
bvo 92 69 91 70 / 0 0 10 0
fyv 91 69 90 69 / 10 0 20 10
byv 93 69 92 70 / 10 0 20 10
mko 92 71 91 71 / 10 0 10 10
Mio 91 70 91 70 / 10 0 20 0
f10 93 70 92 70 / 0 0 10 10
hhw 97 71 95 71 / 0 0 10 10

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

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