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fxus64 ktsa 221937 
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Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
237 PM CDT sun Sep 22 2019

Discussion...
training showers/embedded thunder that produced a narrow band of
1-3+ inches of rain across northeast OK has dissipated, with
scattered showers currently ongoing. Various cam solutions suggest
a modest uptick by late afternoon/early evening convection as the
cold front nears, with a few strong/severe storms possible given
the rather strong layered flow. While isolated pockets of heavy
rainfall will be possible, will likely cancel the Flash Flood
Watch a bit early.

The best chances of convection will shift to far southeast OK
later tonight into Monday morning, with cooler/drier air briefly
moving into northeast OK/northwest Arkansas.

The stalled boundary will lift back north by Tuesday, with
periodic chances of showers/thunderstorms through Thursday as the
boundary remains nearby. The next upper system weakens as it lifts
into the plains by late week, with the best chances of additional
precipitation likely remaining north of the area. Mid-level
heights are forecast to rise going into next weekend, with more hot
and humid weather in store.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 63 85 69 85 / 40 10 30 60
fsm 72 87 71 81 / 60 30 30 60
mlc 69 86 71 85 / 60 40 40 60
bvo 57 84 63 84 / 20 0 20 60
fyv 65 81 62 78 / 70 10 20 50
byv 64 83 61 79 / 70 10 10 50
mko 66 85 69 82 / 70 20 30 60
Mio 60 84 63 81 / 50 0 20 50
f10 65 86 70 85 / 60 20 40 60
hhw 72 86 70 87 / 50 50 40 60

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for okz054>056-059.

Arkansas...none.
&&

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