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fxus63 ksgf 152016 

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
216 PM CST Fri Nov 15 2019

Short term...(this evening through saturday)
issued at 122 PM CST Fri Nov 15 2019

High pressure was continuing to build into the region this
afternoon. At the surface...the ridge axis was moving across the
area with light northwest winds over central Missouri...light
winds from the south over extreme southeast Kansas and light and
variable winds in between.

As high pressure continues to make its way eastward...a gradual
warming trend will begin. Overnight lows will range from 25-30
degrees...but highs on Saturday should make it into the 50s
region wide.

Long term...(saturday night through friday)
issued at 122 PM CST Fri Nov 15 2019

By Saturday upper level trough...currently approaching
the Pacific coast...will move into the northern plains states and
drag a surface cold front through the area during the day on
Sunday. Return flow from the Gulf will be slow and so it is
anticipated that this front will not have much moisture with which
to work. Best rain chances will be during the day on Sunday but
amounts should be one-tenth of an inch or less.

The warming trend will continue into mid-week with temperatures
approaching seasonal normals by Tuesday to slightly above normal
on Wednesday. Overnight lows will be in the 40s with daytime highs
in the 50s and 60s.

The next upper level system will dig southward along the
California coast by mid week with a surface cold front approaching
the area on Wednesday and moving through on Thursday. This system
looks to have more moisture with which to work and should produce
some heavier rainfall amounts. This front is expected to have some
Canadian air behind it and so temperatures by the end of the work
week should be back to below seasonal normals.


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Saturday afternoon)
issued at 1125 am CST Fri Nov 15 2019

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period with
surface high pressure transiting the area. Winds will be light but
will gradually veer from the northwest to a more south to
southeasterly direction.


Sgf watches/warnings/advisories...


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