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fxus64 koun 212338 aaa 
afdoun

Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Norman OK
638 PM CDT sun Jul 21 2019

Aviation...
22/00z tafs. Scattered showers and storms are still expected to
affect mainly far northern Oklahoma first 6 to 8 hours of
forecast, mainly around kpnc and points north and east. Will
include thunderstorms and rain only at kpnc. Strong front will progress southward
over terminals overnight, with Post frontal stratus appearing more
likely with latest data. Will include several hours of MVFR
stratus after the front passes with VFR conditions and gusty
north-northeast winds after 18z.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 334 PM CDT sun Jul 21 2019/

Discussion...

.Cooler weather ahead...

With a cold front moving into northwest Oklahoma, we may see some
scattered storms form along this boundary this evening and
overnight. Better chances are in eastern parts of the state where
there is better moisture. Lowered pops to reflect the lack of quantitative precipitation forecast
that models have been trending toward the last few days (and now
cams reflect as well). A few marginally severe winds gusts may be
possible with these storms initially with the threat quickly
diminishing later tonight.

The cold front will surge south overnight, bringing below normal
temperatures to the area. By Monday night, we'll be seeing lows in
the 50s and 60s and tuesdays highs will be in the 80s. With the
ridge pushed off to The Four Corners region, expect these cooler
temperatures to hang on a while with some gradual warming toward the
end of the week. By next weekend, models hint at another front and
shortwave entering the area, but details are still very fuzzy at
this point.

Day

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 74 88 66 85 / 20 20 0 0
Hobart OK 73 90 65 88 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls Texas 76 93 68 87 / 10 0 0 0
gage OK 66 84 59 83 / 20 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 72 84 63 83 / 40 0 0 0
Durant OK 75 95 70 88 / 20 20 10 0

&&

Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...heat advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for okz007-008-013-020-
026.

Texas...none.
&&

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