Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus64 koun 180450
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1050 PM CST sun Nov 17 2019
06z taf discussion.
VFR conditions continue.
Not much chancge from previous forecast. Mainly mid/high clouds
expected with a light and variable wind at beginning of forecast
becoming southwest/west during the morning hours on Monday. There
will be a weak sfc boundary that will slide southeast across the
area during the day tomorrow, with sfc winds becoming northwest.
Previous discussion... /issued 514 PM CST sun Nov 17 2019/
00z taf discussion.
VFR conditions continue.
Mainly high clouds to impact area tonight into Monday with perhaps
some mid clouds around 10kft moving across northern Oklahoma
Monday morning. Otherwise, light north winds will become
south/southwest overnight before a gradual shift back to the west
at most sites during the day tomorrow. A weak boundary will shift
the winds back to the northwest at both wwr/pnc by Monday
afternoon, mainly below 12kts.
Previous discussion... /issued 249 PM CST sun Nov 17 2019/
a breezy northwest wind will diminish during the late afternoon/early
evening and will become light southwest to west overnight. With a
mainly clear sky this evening, temperatures will cool rather
quickly as sunset approaches.
After a rather warm day Monday, Tuesday will bring changes in the
form of a breezy south wind and higher humidity. Most of this
will occur during the second half of the day. A nearly stationary
low west of baja, will open and lift northeast late Tuesday into
Wednesday. By Wednesday afternoon, lift associated with this
feature will bring a decent chance of rain to parts of Oklahoma
and western North Texas. Meanwhile, a northern stream trough will
help drive cooler/colder air into northern Oklahoma by late
Wednesday/early Thursday. The front is expected to clear most of
Oklahoma and North Texas, but will stall within southwest flow
With a frontal boundary close to southern Oklahoma, precipitation
chances will increase again by late Thursday into Friday as another
trough/low to our west approaches. How quickly east the next
system moves is somewhat uncertain, but the main influence should
be east of Oklahoma by late Saturday.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 38 69 41 70 / 0 0 0 0
Hobart OK 37 71 40 71 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls Texas 39 71 42 73 / 0 0 0 0
gage OK 37 71 37 72 / 0 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 36 69 38 68 / 0 0 0 0
Durant OK 38 67 42 72 / 0 0 0 0