Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

fxus64 kmeg 110858 

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee
258 am CST Wed Dec 11 2019


Skies are clear across the mid-south early this morning with
temperatures in the lower 20s to the lower 30s. High pressure will
spread across the region today providing dry weather and below
normal temperatures with highs in the mid to upper 40s. Tonight,
the high will be moving east of the region allowing winds to shift
to the south and begin to bring somewhat milder air to the mid-
south. Temperatures will not be as cold tonight with lows Thursday
morning in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Thursday will remain dry as
high pressure remains over the mid-Atlantic region. Temperatures
will be a little warmer with highs in the low to mid 50s.

By Thursday night, low pressure is expected to develop over the
western Gulf of Mexico. This low will track northeast and will be
just south of Mobile by Friday morning. Rain showers are expected
to develop ahead of the low and spread north Thursday night with
some of this activity possibly reaching eastern sections of the
mid-south. Temperatures will be milder with lows Friday morning in
the mid 30s to around 40 degrees. This low will continue to track
northeast on Friday and eventually reach the mid-Atlantic coast by
Saturday morning. More showers will reach much of the mid-south
mainly east of the Mississippi River both Friday and Friday night.

A weak cold front is expected to move into the region Saturday
bringing a few showers to mainly northern and eastern sections of
the mid-south. High pressure will build into the region by
Saturday night bringing a period of dry weather for Saturday night
and most of Sunday.

Another frontal boundary will move into the mid-south by Sunday
night and then slowly move south bringing more rain for Sunday
night through Monday night. By Tuesday, this front will be out of
the region with rain ending over eastern sections of the region in
the morning.



06z tafs

Wintry precipitation has exited the region and all sites are at
VFR conditions. Winds will be light to calm overnight. High
pressure will dominate the weather pattern for the next 24 hrs so
VFR conditions will continue at all sites through tomorrow.



Meg watches/warnings/advisories...

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations