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afdmaf

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa Texas
1231 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2019

Discussion...

Please see the 18z aviation discussion below.

&&

Aviation...

VFR conditions with southeast winds will continue the next 24 hours. A
few intermittent gusts to around 15kt are possible this afternoon,
but sustained speeds should remain at or below 12kt through the period.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 332 am CDT Mon Jul 15 2019/

Discussion...

A broad upper ridge is over the southern half of the country with
an upper low centered over Arkansas. Temperatures are expected to
be a little warmer across the area today with highs generally
ranging from the mid 90s to the triple digits. Highs on Tuesday
may be a degree or two warmer than today and there is a slight
chance of thunderstorms along and west of the upper trans Pecos.
Conditions on Wednesday will be similar to those on Tuesday.
Temperatures on Thursday heat up into the upper 90s to triple
digits for most of the Permian Basin with storm chances mostly
along the higher terrain. Very similar conditions will continue
through the weekend. The GFS and European model (ecmwf) differ a bit with the
placement of the upper ridge early next week but it looks like
temperatures may cool slightly with rain/storm chances across
mostly western portions of the area on Monday.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Big Spring 97 75 98 74 / 0 0 0 0
Carlsbad 99 74 100 73 / 0 20 20 20
Dryden 99 75 99 74 / 0 0 0 10
Fort Stockton 97 74 98 73 / 0 0 10 10
Guadalupe Pass 93 70 94 70 / 0 20 20 20
Hobbs 95 72 97 71 / 0 0 20 10
Marfa 92 62 92 64 / 0 20 20 20
Midland Intl Airport 98 75 99 74 / 0 0 0 10
Odessa 98 75 99 74 / 0 0 0 10
Wink 100 75 100 74 / 0 0 10 10

&&

Maf watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.
Texas...none.

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