Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

000 
FXUS64 KLUB 090935
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
335 AM CST Mon Dec 9 2019

.DISCUSSION...

The advertised storm system expected to affect the forecast area 
today is currently located just off the SOCAL coast. As the day 
progresses this system will swing through the Desert Southwest and 
then east towards the region. Ahead of the system, increasing west-
southwesterly flow will continue to bring upper and mid-level 
moisture to the area. Simultaneously, a long way upper level trough 
will move across the Midwest driving a cold front south and through 
the FA later this morning. During the latter part of the day large 
scale ascent from the upper level trough will combine with lift from 
the front and increased moisture levels to markedly increase
precip. chances across our southern zones, with a northern precip.
cutoff near Lubbock county. Precip. type will start out as rain 
and then as temperatures cool tonight into tomorrow morning 
transition to a rain/snow mix. Morning models and profiles keep 
things on the warmer side than the past few days. As a result 
ground temperatures will likely be warmer than previously expected
leading to very light accumulations. 

This system will rapidly exit the CWA tomorrow morning leaving clear 
skies and cool temperatures in its wake. Tuesday will be the coolest 
day of the week with highs reaching the mid 40s. Temperatures will 
gradually warm through the week as the weather pattern remains less 
active. Thursday another upper level trough passes through the FA 
but continues to look dry with no impacts expected. Friday into the 
weekend temperatures warm into the 60s as W-NW flow prevails aloft.  

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations