Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

fxus63 kjkl 191950 
afdjkl

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky
350 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2019

Short term...(this evening through Friday night)
issued at 350 PM EDT Thursday Sep 19 2019

A ridge of high pressure will provide very warm and dry conditions
for eastern Kentucky into the upcoming weekend. Temperatures will
continue to run well above normal to end the week. Highs on Friday
will likely Max out in the low to mid 80s. Lows the next two
nights will also be a bit above normal, with min values ranging
from the upper 50s to lower 60s. We may see a bit of valley fog
across the area again late tonight into early tomorrow, but this
will mainly be confined to deep, sheltered valleys and near bodies
of water.

Long term...(saturday through thursday)
issued at 350 PM EDT Thursday Sep 19 2019

The bulk of the extended period will be dry as well, with high
pressure being the main player in our weather pattern. However, a
brief pattern change is on tap for the period Sunday night and
Monday, as an active cold front is finally going to be making its
way across the region. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms
will be possible during this time. Unfortunately this shot of rain
looks to be quite brief and will likely not amount to enough to
relieve our ongoing drought conditions. The good news is that we
will see our first taste of true fall temperatures to start the
week, with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s on tap for Monday
and Tuesday. The weekend, however, will be a very different story.
Persistent southerly to southwesterly flow, along with minimal
cloud cover, will allow temperatures to rise to the more typical
values we've seen over the past several days, with highs on
Saturday and Sunday expected to Max out in the upper 80s and lower
90s. Highs next Wednesday will be above normal as well, but will
only top out in the low to mid 80s. Nightly lows will be in the
lower 60s to begin the period, but will fall into the upper 50s
most nights from Monday night Onward.

&&

Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Friday afternoon)
issued at 123 PM EDT Thursday Sep 19 2019

VFR conditions will prevail at the taf sites through the end of
the period, as a ridge of high pressure continues to bring warm
and dry weather to eastern Kentucky. Scattered to broken low and mid level
cloud cover will continue to persist over eastern Kentucky this
afternoon, before finally scattering out early this evening. By 1
or 2z tonight we should see mostly clear skies with a few low
level clouds still moving across the area. Any fog that forms
tonight should remain confined to our deepest and most sheltered
valleys and near bodies of water and should affect any of the taf
sites. Winds will be generally light the rest of today and light
and variable overnight through early Friday morning.

&&

Jkl watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations