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fxus63 kict 230332 
afdict

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas
1032 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

..updated for aviation discussion...

Short term...(this evening through Thursday night)
issued at 239 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Northerly winds and weak cold advection are leading to drier air
oozing into the region this afternoon. Remnant low level moisture
has led to some diurnally driven cumulus, but expect this cloud
cover to dissipate after sunset.

Cooler and drier air will be the story for the next few days, as a
Canadian ridge of high pressure settles over the area. Latest model
projections suggest that this ridge will make slow progress to the
east over the next several days, as the upper level flow stays out
of the N-NW. This will lead to Max temps a little below seasonal
averages for the next couple of Days.

Ridge will slowly slide into the Ozarks and Mississippi Valley by
Thu/Fri, which will lead to a gradual warming trend back towards
normal for end of the week, for areas west of I-135, as southerly
winds return to the region. Expect the dry conditions to continue,
at least through Thu and probably into the weekend as well.

Ketcham

Long term...(friday through monday)
issued at 239 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

There is some uncertainty on how Fri/Sat will play out, as the
European model (ecmwf) shows a weak impulse in the northerly flow dropping across
the area for Fri, which may lead to enough weakness for a rogue
shower or two. But the GFS doesn't show this, so prefer to leave
things dry for now. Expect Max temps to slowly climb back a little
above normal by the weekend, with southerly flow returning to
most locations.

Ketcham

&&

Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Tuesday night)
issued at 1030 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Quiet VFR conditions areawide the next 24 hours, as unseasonably
strong surface high pressure settles south across the region.
Northeast winds will be relatively light in response to the
approaching high pressure. Other than patchy high level clouds
over the western half of Kansas, clear skies should prevail.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Wichita-kict 60 82 58 83 / 0 0 0 0
Hutchinson 58 82 57 84 / 0 0 0 0
Newton 58 80 58 82 / 0 0 0 0
Eldorado 59 80 58 81 / 0 0 0 0
Winfield-kwld 60 81 58 83 / 0 0 0 0
Russell 55 83 57 87 / 0 0 10 0
Great Bend 56 82 57 86 / 0 0 10 0
Salina 57 82 58 85 / 0 0 0 0
McPherson 57 80 56 83 / 0 0 0 0
Coffeyville 62 81 59 84 / 0 0 0 0
Chanute 61 80 59 82 / 0 0 0 0
Iola 60 80 59 82 / 0 0 0 0
Parsons-kppf 62 80 59 82 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Ict watches/warnings/advisories...none.

&&

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