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fxus63 kdlh 192353 aaa 
afddlh

Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Duluth Minnesota
653 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Update...
issued at 653 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Updated below for 00z aviation discussion.

&&

Short term...(this evening through saturday)
issued at 243 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Severe weather potential for east-central Minnesota and northwest
Wisconsin this afternoon into early evening. All modes of severe
weather will be possible - see latest hazardous weather outlook
for details. (Apologies for the brief discussion due to past,
present, and future severe weather keeping US a little busy today!)

Storms could clear out quickly west to east tonight with clearing
skies late tonight. Lows as cool as the low 50s in northern
Minnesota as drier air moves in, in the low 60s in northwest
Wisconsin.

Mainly sunny and nice on Saturday with highs in the upper 70s and
much more comfortable dew points in the 50s. A low chance for a
few showers across east-central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, but
very low potential for thunderstorms, and showers won't last all
that long if they do develop.

Long term...(saturday night through friday)
issued at 243 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Zonal flow will be in place in Sunday with a shortwave diving
through the upper Midwest Sunday afternoon into early Monday
morning. This may lead to a few showers and storms, mainly across
our western zones. Northwest flow will then set-up for the remainder
of the extended. This will bring periodic rainfall chances through
the week, but no significant systems are expected through the
period. Sunday and Monday will see temperatures in the 70s to near
80 with 80s for most areas for the remainder of the week.

&&

Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Saturday evening)
issued at 653 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Convection has cleared the terminals with mainly dry conditions
expected through the period. Conditions will mainly be VFR, but
hyr will see some MVFR ceilings for a few hours as cloud cover
lingers behind the storms. Some MVFR fog may develop at hib and
hyr. Confidence is higher at hyr given the rain they saw and they
may dip lower to IFR. Winds will be light through the period,
although some gusty winds to near 20 knots will be seen at inl
tomorrow afternoon.

&&

Marine...
issued at 243 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Outside of the potential for a few thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening along the South Shore of Lake Superior, no hazardous
conditions are expected over the next 48 hours. Storms this
afternoon/evening may contain wind gusts to 40 to 50 knots. Winds
through Saturday will be generally westerly, but run southwest to
northwest at times. A few gusts to around 12-15 knots will be
possible during the day on Saturday. Waves will be 2 feet or less
through the period.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
dlh 60 78 56 75 / 20 20 10 10
inl 53 78 50 74 / 10 10 10 10
brd 61 80 56 76 / 10 30 10 0
hyr 61 79 54 77 / 80 20 20 10
asx 61 81 57 76 / 70 20 10 10

&&

Dlh watches/warnings/advisories...
WI...none.
Minnesota...none.
Ls...none.
&&

$$

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