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fxus63 kdlh 200532 

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Duluth Minnesota
1232 am CDT Sat Jul 20 2019

issued at 1231 am CDT Sat Jul 20 2019

Updated for the 06z aviation discussion.


Short term...(this evening through saturday)
issued at 243 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Severe weather potential for east-central Minnesota and northwest
Wisconsin this afternoon into early evening. All modes of severe
weather will be possible - see latest hazardous weather outlook
for details. (Apologies for the brief discussion due to past,
present, and future severe weather keeping US a little busy today!)

Storms could clear out quickly west to east tonight with clearing
skies late tonight. Lows as cool as the low 50s in northern
Minnesota as drier air moves in, in the low 60s in northwest

Mainly sunny and nice on Saturday with highs in the upper 70s and
much more comfortable dew points in the 50s. A low chance for a
few showers across east-central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, but
very low potential for thunderstorms, and showers won't last all
that long if they do develop.

Long term...(saturday night through friday)
issued at 243 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Zonal flow will be in place in Sunday with a shortwave diving
through the upper Midwest Sunday afternoon into early Monday
morning. This may lead to a few showers and storms, mainly across
our western zones. Northwest flow will then set-up for the remainder
of the extended. This will bring periodic rainfall chances through
the week, but no significant systems are expected through the
period. Sunday and Monday will see temperatures in the 70s to near
80 with 80s for most areas for the remainder of the week.


Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Saturday night)
issued at 1231 am CDT Sat Jul 20 2019

Storms that moved through a few of the terminals earlier this
evening put down a lot of rainfall that should increase the low
level moisture enough for some radiational fog over the next 12
hours. Khyr should be most strongly affected and have gone with
IFR/LIFR conditions until 13z, after which the fog should
dissipate. Kdlh, khib and kinl should also get some fog, but have
left at MVFR for now, as dewpoints are lower in these areas.
Saturday an area of rain should move across the khyr terminal, but
conditions should stay VFR. Otherwise, VFR conditions with no
precipitation expected through the end of the taf period.


issued at 1002 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Quiet weather expected on the lake with only some rain chances on
Saturday, and overnight fog. West to southwest winds tonight will
slowly turn around to the north by Sunday, and generally remain
less than 15 knots with waves of less than 2 feet.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
dlh 60 78 56 75 / 10 20 10 10
inl 53 78 50 74 / 0 10 10 10
brd 61 80 56 76 / 10 30 10 0
hyr 61 79 54 77 / 50 20 20 10
asx 61 81 57 76 / 50 20 10 10


Dlh watches/warnings/advisories...



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