Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus61 kctp 141836
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
136 PM EST Thu Nov 14 2019
High pressure will move east of the state bringing milder
temperatures today and Friday. A dry cold front will push
through the area Friday night bringing a return to colder
temperatures for the weekend.
Near term /through tonight/...
Mid and upper level clouds are streaming through, with the
clouds tending to thin out over western areas. This should lead
to improving skies for the afternoon with partly to mostly
sunny skies expected to develop.
Fair weather will continue overnight as high pressure noses in
from the west. Lows will average several degrees colder than
normal, generally a few deg either side of 25.
Short term /Friday/...
Most of the area will see pleasant but cool weather on Friday.
Far northwestern areas could see some clouds and a flurry sneak in off
Lake Erie, but most of the County Warning Area will enjoy a bright day.
Highs will range from the mid 30s along the New York border to around
50 along the Mason-Dixon line.
Long term /Friday night through Thursday/...
the trend of below average temperatures and relatively calm
weather will continue into next week. A weak cold front will
drop temperatures to 10 to 15 degrees below normal on Saturday
followed a gradual warming trend through early next week. By
Tuesday, temperatures will be near normal.
A strong low pressure system is currently expected to remain
off the Atlantic coast Sunday night into Monday, but a slight
westward track could bring rain chances to southeastern zones.
Westerly flow and Warm Lake waters will allow daily
flurries/isolated snow showers across the northwest mountains.
Another strong low pressure system may bring precipitation to
eastern Pennsylvania around midweek. In its wake, colder
northwest flow will bring lake effect snow showers during the
second half of next week.
Aviation /18z Thursday through Tuesday/...
Some MVFR ceilings could creep into the far northwest for a time
Friday, but generally VFR conditions will continuing over the
remainder of the region.
The wind will favor light and variable.
Fri...perhaps a snow shower and brief restrictions at kbfd, but
otherwise mostly VFR.
Sat-Tue...no sig wx.