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000 
FXUS65 KBYZ 142057
AFDBYZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Billings MT 
257 PM MDT Mon Oct 14 2019

.SHORT TERM...valid for Tue

The cold front has passed through the area, and the gusty
northwest winds have arrived. Much of the area is seeing gusts 30
mph plus. These winds will continue into the evening, but should
be decreasing overnight as the pressure gradient relaxes. While 
the radar has been showing weak echos, the reports have been only 
been of virga. 

Going into Tuesday, the are will be under some ridging, bring
dry weather. As tomorrow will be behind the front, expecting
temperatures to be slightly cooler, with highs generally in the
mid 50s. Overnight, the flow will start to flatten. Reimer

.LONG TERM...valid for Wed...Thu...Fri...Sat...Sun...Mon...

Ridging looks to persist Wednesday through Thursday morning, then
an unsettled weather pattern will occur through the weekend. 
Temperatures will slowly cool off through the extended period as 
broad upper troughing and a series of shortwaves will slowly bring
cooler air from the northwest. Light showers will mainly remain 
over the mountains and higher elevations throughout this pattern, 
with it slowly transitioning to snow as temperatures cool off 
through the weekend. However, a deeper shortwave looks to pass 
through the area on Sunday, bringing precipitation to the lower 
elevations as well... starting off as snow Sunday morning and 
transitioning to rain by the afternoon.

A couple windy patterns stand out through early next week, mainly
in the Livingston and surrounding areas. Friday evening, west-to-
northwest unidirectional winds look to mix down and bringing about
gusty conditions along foothills from Harlowton down through
Livingston. As broad upper ridging looks to return late Monday, an
impactful gap wind event looks to set up for the Livingston-Big 
Timber areas late Monday through early Tuesday. Vertz

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail overnight and Tuesday. Gusty northwest
winds, with gusts of 30 to 40 knots, will start to decrease after
00Z. Winds could still be 10 to 15 knots through 12Z, but will be
lighter through the day Tuesday. Reimer

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    Tue     Wed     Thu     Fri     Sat     Sun     Mon     
-----------------------------------------------------------
BIL 030/053 039/069 045/066 040/059 036/054 035/046 030/049
    00/U    00/B    01/E    41/B    34/R    64/O    43/O
LVM 029/058 040/068 042/061 037/053 033/049 031/043 027/046
    00/B    00/N    04/R    43/R    46/O    64/O    44/O
HDN 028/052 035/068 040/067 037/059 034/055 033/046 028/049
    00/U    00/B    01/B    31/B    33/R    54/O    43/O
MLS 029/046 033/066 039/066 040/059 035/055 033/048 030/047
    00/B    00/B    00/B    21/B    21/U    34/R    33/O
4BQ 029/047 033/068 039/069 037/058 033/054 032/046 028/046
    00/B    00/B    00/B    21/B    32/R    44/O    43/O
BHK 028/044 028/064 039/067 038/056 033/054 032/046 028/044
    10/B    00/B    00/B    11/U    11/B    34/O    32/O
SHR 028/052 033/070 039/070 035/058 031/054 031/044 025/046
    00/U    00/B    00/B    21/B    23/R    45/O    43/O

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
WY...None.

&&

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